Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.003288 0.003612 0.003958 0.004355 0.004800 0.005282 0.005847
2026-01-25 0.002707 0.003155 0.003666 0.004296 0.005056 0.005948 0.007081
2026-02-01 0.002400 0.002910 0.003520 0.004310 0.005315 0.006561 0.008239
2026-02-08 0.002148 0.002686 0.003355 0.004255 0.005449 0.006997 0.009189
2026-02-15 0.001937 0.002486 0.003188 0.004166 0.005510 0.007322 0.009999
2026-02-22 0.001806 0.002372 0.003118 0.004186 0.005707 0.007832 0.011103
2026-03-01 0.001726 0.002318 0.003117 0.004296 0.006028 0.008536 0.012552
2026-03-08 0.001600 0.002187 0.002999 0.004225 0.006077 0.008839 0.013417
2026-03-15 0.001486 0.002066 0.002882 0.004144 0.006097 0.009094 0.014223
2026-03-22 0.001401 0.001979 0.002808 0.004117 0.006194 0.009468 0.015253
2026-03-29 0.001344 0.001928 0.002782 0.004159 0.006398 0.010027 0.016651
2026-04-05 0.001268 0.001843 0.002699 0.004105 0.006440 0.010319 0.017608
2026-04-12 0.001198 0.001766 0.002626 0.004068 0.006519 0.010698 0.018802
2026-04-19 0.001128 0.001687 0.002546 0.004014 0.006564 0.011028 0.019956
2026-04-26 0.001080 0.001637 0.002509 0.004027 0.006726 0.011576 0.021594
2026-05-03 0.001023 0.001570 0.002438 0.003976 0.006767 0.011905 0.022834
2026-05-10 0.000965 0.001496 0.002352 0.003893 0.006743 0.012105 0.023828
2026-05-17 0.000930 0.001460 0.002326 0.003912 0.006907 0.012683 0.025702
2026-05-24 0.000912 0.001451 0.002345 0.004014 0.007236 0.013617 0.028491
2026-05-31 0.000867 0.001393 0.002276 0.003948 0.007233 0.013877 0.029774
2026-06-07 0.000824 0.001336 0.002205 0.003873 0.007206 0.014079 0.030946
2026-06-14 0.000792 0.001295 0.002162 0.003848 0.007276 0.014495 0.032697
2026-06-21 0.000771 0.001275 0.002152 0.003887 0.007480 0.015223 0.035336